Methodology

How our calculators work

Every LayoffNext tool uses a simplified, openly explained model — never a black box. Here are the inputs, assumptions, and limitations behind each one.

Layoff Risk methodology

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The Layoff Risk Calculator scores 18 weighted job-security factors across five areas — company health, your role's visibility, workplace signals, your personal situation, and company layoff history. Each factor contributes a set number of points (raw maximum of 161). Your industry applies a base multiplier (roughly 0.85×–1.20×). The final score is(your points ÷ 161) × industry multiplier × 100, clamped to 0–100, and mapped to a Low/Medium/High/Critical tier. It is a preparation prompt, not a prediction.

Severance assumptions

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Severance estimates use common market conventions — typically a number of weeks of base pay per year of tenure — to produce a general range. Actual severance is set by your employer, your separation agreement, and any applicable policy or law; there is no guaranteed formula. The severance tax estimate treats a lump sum as supplemental wages and applies simplified withholding assumptions, which will differ from your actual tax outcome.

COBRA calculations

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The COBRA vs Marketplace comparison estimates your COBRA cost as the full plan premium (employer + employee share) plus the allowed administrative fee of up to 2%, and compares it against Marketplace plan costs after any premium tax credit you may qualify for based on the income you enter. Real premiums, subsidy eligibility, and plan availability depend on your state, plan year, and household — always confirm on HealthCare.gov or your state exchange.

Runway calculations

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The Runway Calculator divides your available savings and expected income (such as severance and estimated unemployment) by your monthly expenses to estimate how many months your money lasts. It assumes steady monthly spending and does not model investment returns, taxes on withdrawals, or irregular expenses.

Budget assumptions

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The Emergency Budget Calculator separates spending into essential and discretionary categories to show a leaner “survival” budget and how much runway trimming discretionary spend adds. Categories and defaults are illustrative starting points — your real budget depends on your household, location, and obligations.

Career recommendations

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Career pivot suggestions are built from publicly observable labor-market and job-posting trends and from the skills you enter. They are framed as general direction and exploration prompts, not predictions of hiring outcomes or salary guarantees.

Job Tracker privacy

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The Job Application Tracker stores your entries in your own browser (local storage) by default. Your application data is not sent to LayoffNext unless a feature explicitly says so and you opt in. Clearing your browser data will remove locally stored entries.

Limitations

Estimated calculations

Every output is a simplified estimate for planning and education. Real amounts depend on details our tools can't see — your specific agreement, employer policy, state rules, tax situation, and plan terms.

Known limitations

Models assume steady inputs, use national or common conventions rather than jurisdiction-specific rules, and don't capture every edge case. Where a tool has a specific limitation, it's documented on that tool's page.

Professional advice disclaimer

LayoffNext provides educational information only and does not offer legal, financial, tax, insurance, investment, unemployment, or immigration advice. For decisions specific to your situation, consult a licensed professional or the relevant official government source.

Sources & references

Primary government sources our tools and guidance draw on. Rules and figures change — confirm current details with the official source before acting.

For how we research, fact-check, and correct written content, see our editorial standards.

Deepak Middha, Founder of LayoffNext
Deepak MiddhaFounder of LayoffNext

Deepak Middha is the founder of LayoffNext and a Chartered Accountant (ICAI, India). A U.S. immigrant with nearly 20 years of experience — and 17 years in hedge fund and private equity administration, including as Vice President of Fund Accounting at NAV Fund Administration Group and Associate Director of Private Equity and Real Estate at SS&C Technologies — he builds free, plain-language layoff tools and guides for employees, H-1B workers, and immigrant families.